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RJ Barrett, Zion Williamson, NY Knicks. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
With three players from the 2019 NBA Draft (RJ Barrett, Cam Reddish, and Luka Samanic) all now currently on the Knicks roster, it felt like a fun time to take a stab at a 2019 redraft.
The 2019 NBA Draft is a wild one to try and evaluate at this stage.
2019 Redraft: New York Knicks
These players are only in their third year in the league. Your third year in any career is usually when you start to make a leap.
Still, we’ve had players already make an All-Star game from this class. We have a current dark-horse MVP candidate from this class. You also have a player just starting to turn the corner in their careers.
And that’s just in the top three picks.
Do you put more weight on what a player has shown already or what high ceiling they might still be able to reach?
You also have some players in this draft (Cameron Johnson comes to mind here) who found themselves on teams that were just about to take off and thus have a much higher win shares number than some other draftees who may be more talented on paper.
There is also the elephant in the room (pun not intended): where in the world should Zion Williamson go in a redraft?
He’s an incredibly talented player, but he has yet to step on a basketball court in his third season.
Knicks fans love R.J. Barrett, but where do the numbers put him?
This redraft is certainly in the eye of the beholder.
For me, I tried to create a formula combining total games played, win shares, career Box Plus/Minus (BPM), and career value-over-replacement-player (VORP). It’s helpful for me in these situations to put as much data to my eye test as possible.
I also value certain pieces of that formula more than others.
Whatever you value, I’m sure the results will ruffle some feathers, but I’m just telling you what the data shows.
!["NY](https://dailyknicks.com/2022/02/02/redraft-2019-ny-knicks-land-flawed-potential-superstar/"https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/fetch/c_fill,g_auto,f_auto,h_2243,w_3200/https%3A%2F%2Fdailyknicks.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2Fimagn-images%2F2017%2F07%2F12430055.jpeg")
Knicks roster, it felt like a fun time to take a stab at a 2019 redraft.</p>
<p>The 2019 NBA Draft is a wild one to try and evaluate at this stage.</p>
<h2>2019 Redraft: New York Knicks</h2>
<p>These players are only in their third year in the league. Your third year in any career is usually when you start to make a leap.</p>
<p>Still, we’ve had players already make an All-Star game from this class. We have a current dark-horse MVP candidate from this class. You also have a player just starting to turn the corner in their careers.</p>
<p>And that’s just in the top three picks.</p>
<p>Do you put more weight on what a player has shown already or what high ceiling they might still be able to reach?</p>
<p>You also have some players in this draft (Cameron Johnson comes to mind here) who found themselves on teams that were just about to take off and thus have a much higher win shares number than some other draftees who may be more talented on paper.</p>
<p>There is also the elephant in the room (pun not intended): where in the world should Zion Williamson go in a redraft?</p>
<p>He’s an incredibly talented player, but he has yet to step on a basketball court in his third season.</p>
<p>Knicks fans love R.J. Barrett, but where do the numbers put him?</p>
<p>This redraft is certainly in the eye of the beholder.</p>
<p>For me, I tried to create a formula combining total games played, win shares, career Box Plus/Minus (BPM), and career value-over-replacement-player (VORP). It’s helpful for me in these situations to put as much data to my eye test as possible.</p>
<p>I also value certain pieces of that formula more than others.</p>
<p>Whatever you value, I’m sure the results will ruffle some feathers, but I’m just telling you what the data shows.</p>
<div class="next-slide slider"> <a class="next-slide-btn" style="background: #007BC1" data-track="shortcode" data-track-action="next-slide-shortcode" href=https://dailyknicks.com/2022/02/02/redraft-2019-ny-knicks-land-flawed-potential-superstar/"#"> <span class="title">Next:</span> Top 3 Picks </a>
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traded Kyle Guy,</a> who they selected with the 55th overall pick to the Sacramento Kings for the draft rights to Ignas Brazdeikis who was selected 47th overall.</p>
<p>If that same pick were to happen in the redraft, what would it look like.</p>
<p>Well, if we just keep the players actually involved in the trade, Guy would go 45th and Brazdeikis would go 52nd. In second round draft terms, that’s a pretty even swap.</p>
<p>What if we kept the two teams, though, and changed the specific players involved?</p>
<p>With the 47th pick, the Kings would take KZ Okpala, and with the 55th pick the Knicks would select Justin Wright-Foreman.</p>
<p>The Knicks would clearly win this trade.</p>
<p>Okpala, who has spent his entire career with the Miami Heat, has been <a href=https://dailyknicks.com/2022/02/02/redraft-2019-ny-knicks-land-flawed-potential-superstar/"https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/o/okpalkz01.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener" ref="nofollow">servicable in a limited role throughout his career. </a></p>
<p>Wright-Foreman, on the other hand, <a href=https://dailyknicks.com/2022/02/02/redraft-2019-ny-knicks-land-flawed-potential-superstar/"https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/wrighju02.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener" ref="nofollow">has only played in 4 games in his career</a> after being originally drafted by the Utah Jazz.</p>
<p>However you slice it, it feels the Knicks are better off in this redraft.</p>
<div class="next-slide slider"> <a class="next-slide-btn" style="background: #007BC1" data-track="shortcode" data-track-action="next-slide-shortcode" href=https://dailyknicks.com/2022/02/02/redraft-2019-ny-knicks-land-flawed-potential-superstar/"#"> <span class="title">Next:</span> Picks 4-14 </a>
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<img decoding="async" loading="lazy" class="size-full wp-image-118162" src=https://dailyknicks.com/2022/02/02/redraft-2019-ny-knicks-land-flawed-potential-superstar/"https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/fetch/c_fill,g_auto,f_auto,h_2134,w_3200/https%3A%2F%2Fdailyknicks.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2Fgetty-images%2F2017%2F07%2F1278509221.jpeg" alt="NY Knicks" width="3200" height="2134" srcset="https://dailyknicks.com/wp-content/uploads/getty-images/2017/07/1278509221.jpeg 3200w, https://dailyknicks.com/wp-content/uploads/getty-images/2017/07/1278509221-768x512.jpeg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 3200px) 100vw, 3200px"><div class="fs-center-img">
<p class="wp-caption-text" style="width:3200px;">NY Knicks, Tyler Herro (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)</p>
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<h2><strong>2019 redraft? o where do the other Knicks go?</strong></h2>
<p>For starters, here is how the rest of the lottery would shape up after the top three picks. (The picks below are listed by who selected them, not where they ended up playing.)</p>
<p><em>4. Los Angeles Lakers-Cameron Johnson (Previously Taken 11th)<br>
</em><em>5. Cleveland Cavaliers-Matisse Thybulle (Previously Taken 20th)<br>
6. Phoenix Suns -Daniel Gafford (Previously Taken 38th)<br>
7. Chicago Bulls-Jaxson Hayes (Previously Taken 8th)<br>
8. Atlanta Hawks-Terance Mann (Previously Taken 48th)<br>
9. Washington Wizarads-P.J. Washington (Previously Taken 12th)<br>
10. Atlanta Hawks-Tyler Herro (Previously Taken 13th)<br>
11. Minnesota Timberwolves-Keldon Johnson (Previously Taken 29th)<br>
12. Charlotte Hornets-Grant Williams (Previously Taken 22nd)<br>
13. Miami Heat-Cody Martin (Previously Taken 36th)<br>
14. Boston Celtics-RJ Barrett (Previously Taken 3rd)</em></p>
<p>Shocked?</p>
<p>So was I.</p>
<p>Barrett may actually be the hardest person to evaluate in this redraft because much of the potential that make him part of an exciting Knicks future is still mostly theoretical.</p>
<p>Barrett is buoyed in my formula by the number of games played. He actually ranks second overall in the class for that stat.</p>
<p>The other data is not in his favor, though.</p>
<p>In a redraft formula based on win shares, BPM, and VORP, Barrett falls to the last lottery pick because those data points do not benefit him.</p>
<p>Barrett is 12th overall in win shares in this draft class. However, he is 22nd and 32nd in BPM and VORP respectively.</p>
<p>Cam Reddish finds himself in a similar boat. The actual top-ten pick wouldn’t go until 31st in this draft.</p>
<p>Barrett and Reddish each have negative numbers for both BPM and VORP, which kills their redraft placement.</p>
<p>Samanic is another big dropper. Previously selected 19th, he wouldn’t come off the board until 49th in the redraft.</p>
<p>The thing with all three of these guys, though, is that still have gobs of potential considering each player is 22 or younger.</p>
<p>They may not have performed to the level of their draft classmates quite yet, but time is definitely on their side.</p>
<div class="fs-shortcode" data-type="StoryLink" data-theme="dark" data-text="Reacting to B/R's Top 3 Knicks trade targets" data-url="https://dailyknicks.com/2022/02/02/reacting-to-b-rs-top-3-ny-knicks-trade-targets-article/" data-call-to-action="Next"> <div class="story-link-next"> <a class="story-link-next-btn" style="background: #007BC1" data-track="shortcode" data-track-action="story-link-next-shortcode" href=https://dailyknicks.com/2022/02/02/redraft-2019-ny-knicks-land-flawed-potential-superstar/"https://dailyknicks.com/2022/02/02/reacting-to-b-rs-top-3-ny-knicks-trade-targets-article/"> <span class="call_to_action">Next:</span> Reacting to B/R's Top 3 Knicks trade targets </a> </div>
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